The case
According to the latest KOF Consensus Forecast, Switzerland’s real, sports-adjusted GDP is expected to grow by 0.9 % in 2026 (Forecast March: 1.0 %).
The commentary
Forecasts for equipment and construction investment have been corrected downward, while inflation expectations have edged at a higher level. The Swiss National Bank (SNB) is widely expected to keep its policy rate unchanged in the near future, although a modest increase in interest rates is anticipated over the medium term. The Swiss Franc is projected to strengthen further against the US Dollar while remaining broadly stable against the Euro. Meanwhile, the Swiss stock market is expected to deliver moderate gains over the coming twelve months.
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